Pre-tourney Rankings
America East
2013-14


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
89 Vermont 0.0%   20 - 10 15 - 1 20 - 10 15 - 1 +6.0      +2.8 104 +3.2 91 62.4 303 +2.2 134 +8.5 1
172 Stony Brook 0.0%   22 - 10 13 - 3 22 - 10 13 - 3 -0.4      +0.4 163 -0.8 202 67.0 195 +0.8 154 +2.7 2
193 Albany 100.0%   16   18 - 14 9 - 7 18 - 14 9 - 7 -1.7      -2.0 228 +0.3 160 61.6 317 -1.8 190 -6.1 4
230 Hartford 0.0%   17 - 16 10 - 6 17 - 16 10 - 6 -4.1      -1.8 221 -2.3 230 62.2 307 -4.1 236 -3.8 3
318 Umass Lowell 0.0%   9 - 18 8 - 8 9 - 18 8 - 8 -10.4      -6.0 310 -4.5 288 63.6 283 -8.5 291 -6.6 5
322 Maryland Baltimore Co. 0.0%   8 - 21 5 - 11 8 - 21 5 - 11 -11.5      -8.5 339 -2.9 250 72.1 78 -11.7 320 -12.1 6
324 New Hampshire 0.0%   5 - 24 4 - 12 5 - 24 4 - 12 -11.7      -11.3 350 -0.4 182 61.4 320 -15.3 339 -14.2 9
330 Binghamton 0.0%   7 - 23 4 - 12 7 - 23 4 - 12 -12.8      -9.1 342 -3.7 267 67.3 186 -12.8 328 -14.0 8
343 Maine 0.0%   5 - 23 4 - 12 5 - 23 4 - 12 -14.7      -7.0 322 -7.8 337 87.1 3 -14.4 336 -13.6 7






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 1.0 100.0
Stony Brook 2.0 100.0
Albany 4.0 100.0
Hartford 3.0 100.0
Umass Lowell 5.0 100.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 6.0 100.0
New Hampshire 7.0 100.0
Binghamton 7.0 100.0
Maine 7.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 15 - 1 100.0
Stony Brook 13 - 3 100.0
Albany 9 - 7 100.0
Hartford 10 - 6 100.0
Umass Lowell 8 - 8 100.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 5 - 11 100.0
New Hampshire 4 - 12 100.0
Binghamton 4 - 12 100.0
Maine 4 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 100.0% 100.0
Stony Brook
Albany
Hartford
Umass Lowell
Maryland Baltimore Co.
New Hampshire
Binghamton
Maine


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stony Brook 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Albany 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   5.5 94.5
Hartford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Umass Lowell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Binghamton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Maine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Vermont 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stony Brook 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 100.0% 46.8% 78.4% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hartford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 78.4% 0.8 21.6 78.4
2nd Round 1.9% 0.0 98.1 1.9
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0